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The Chief Economist: 3Q 2026: Global Outlook and House Views

BGO’s latest global outlook argues that the commercial real estate recovery is “arriving out of order,” with improving fundamentals, declining construction and adapting capital markets leading the cycle before meaningful long-term interest-rate relief. In the 3Q 2026 Global Outlook and House Views, BGO highlights selective opportunities in supply-constrained industrial and logistics, housing, necessity retail, powered data centres, high-quality office, CRE credit and recapitalizations—while emphasizing disciplined underwriting based on current financing conditions.